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Ratings from senior elections editor steve shepard for every national contest from the 538 electoral college votes to the 435 house districts.
Us election date constitution. History professor allan lichtman is used to being right. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day. The latest from politicos 2020 election forecast.
The bbc poll of polls looks at the individual national polls from the last 14 days and creates trend lines using the median value ie. We use two metrics to measure states importance. This is what the polls say as we enter the final stretch of.
The economists us presidential election forecast. The other is the chance that any single voter in a state will cast the decisive ballot that wins the tipping point state for the next president. How the 15 key battlegrounds could fall this time next week well be counting the votes in the us election.
While spreadex and matchbook have the. The sp 500 index has correctly predicted the winner of the us presidential election 87 of the time over the last almost 100 years strategist dan clifton of strategas research partners said at a. Since 1984 the sp 500 has correctly predicted the outcome of every.
One is the tipping point probability. The toss up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65 or higher chance of winning. Updated twice daily this is an electoral map projection based on the economists us presidential election forecast.
The stock market has a solid track record of predicting the winner of the us presidential election according to lpl financial. Us president donald trump. 2020 us presidential election winner william hill currently has the best odds on mr biden winning the election as it has the democratic nominee at 1120.
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